Prediction of Cori Gauff vs Moyuka Uchijima at Wuhan Open - Wuhan 10-08-25

• In the last six months, Moyuka Uchijima has performed better on second serves, winning 41.69% of points compared to Cori Gauff’s 38.28%.
• Cori Gauff excels in return games, claiming 51.68% of opponents' second serve points, slightly better than Uchijima’s 49.83%.
• Who returns first serves better? Uchijima leads slightly with a 33.17% return rate against Gauff’s 32.20%.
• Under pressure, Uchijima saves 50.79% of breakpoints, slightly outperforming Gauff’s 47.06%.
• How have players performed overall in the past year? Gauff holds a stronger win percentage of 75.38%, while Uchijima has 43.10%.
• Both players favor clay courts with identical win percentages of 73%. However, Uchijima struggles more on grass with only a 25% win rate.
• At the Masters series level, Gauff has a robust 72.50% win rate, which outshines Uchijima’s 61.54%.
• Direct encounters show Gauff leading with one win and a total set score of 2-1 against Uchijima.
• In matches against stronger opponents, Gauff has faced an average rank of 39.02, whereas Uchijima’s opponents rank at 103.95 on average.
• If the match heads to a deciding set, Gauff is likely to prevail, having won 81% of such situations compared to Uchijima’s 57%.

Editorial Prediction (October 6, 2025, UTC):

While Moyuka Uchijima shows a slight advantage in second serve points and breakpoints saved, Cori Gauff demonstrates superior performance in return games and overall match wins over the past year. These factors give Gauff an edge in broader gameplay.

Gauff's consistency in high-level tournaments and ability to challenge higher-ranked players suggest better adaptability and experience at crucial moments. Additionally, her strong performance in deciding sets further amplifies her capability in high-pressure scenarios.

Considering all statistics and previous head-to-head results, Cori Gauff appears to be the likely winner in the upcoming match against Moyuka Uchijima.